Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.021257 0.023487 0.025716 0.028106 0.030589 0.033090 0.035793
2025-03-09 0.016823 0.020340 0.023985 0.028017 0.032326 0.036771 0.041681
2025-03-16 0.013463 0.017698 0.022232 0.027379 0.032997 0.038896 0.045509
2025-03-23 0.011387 0.016147 0.021390 0.027466 0.034210 0.041383 0.049511
2025-03-30 0.009441 0.014521 0.020280 0.027091 0.034768 0.043028 0.052477
2025-04-06 0.007659 0.012902 0.019035 0.026438 0.034907 0.044117 0.054743
2025-04-13 0.005849 0.011062 0.017393 0.025216 0.034306 0.044306 0.055942
2025-04-20 0.005123 0.010522 0.017249 0.025683 0.035581 0.046542 0.059362
2025-04-27 0.004082 0.009448 0.016375 0.025229 0.035747 0.047492 0.061314
2025-05-04 0.003112 0.008349 0.015395 0.024588 0.035648 0.048103 0.062848
2025-05-11 0.002606 0.007867 0.015168 0.024833 0.036563 0.049845 0.065631
2025-05-18 0.002070 0.007261 0.014736 0.024794 0.037115 0.051150 0.067902
2025-05-25 0.001443 0.006454 0.014075 0.024562 0.037567 0.052495 0.070406
2025-06-01 0.000936 0.005740 0.013518 0.024470 0.038217 0.054113 0.073282
2025-06-08 0.000452 0.004836 0.012606 0.023868 0.038214 0.054945 0.075238
2025-06-15 0.000215 0.004337 0.012242 0.023950 0.039021 0.056705 0.078239
2025-06-22 0.000037 0.003692 0.011582 0.023598 0.039262 0.057774 0.080421
2025-06-29 NaN 0.003003 0.010765 0.022984 0.039144 0.058393 0.082060
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002194 0.009611 0.021836 0.038309 0.058124 0.082640
2025-07-13 NaN 0.002021 0.009587 0.022275 0.039484 0.060256 0.086009
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001586 0.008985 0.021849 0.039527 0.061008 0.087750
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001156 0.008292 0.021248 0.039318 0.061435 0.089093
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000995 0.008163 0.021478 0.040186 0.063165 0.091962